• glimmer_twin [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    5 days ago

    Sometimes I wish the housing market would finally crash, then I remember it won’t make my rent go down, it’ll just destroy everyone’s retirement funds

    • SupFBI [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      5 days ago

      The Fed keeps pumping money in to prevent a crash. In doing so, they have been priming the economy for a depression era type crash, but they don’t know what else to do. You can thank Obama. He could have bailed every day Americans out, and reset the economy in the process. But no, he saved his banking friends.

        • barrbaric [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          5 days ago

          As I understand it, quantitative easing is supposed to be viewed as an emergency measure that states use for temporary relief when the markets go into the negative to avoid everything spiraling into a recession. The US is just using QE all the time as a base stimulus, which means they can’t use it in an emergency.

            • WhatDoYouMeanPodcast [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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              5 days ago

              Imagine a burger:

              “Hey Bank-chan, I have this idea for a restaurant that sells balloon animals. I think I’m going to charge $12 for a burger+balloon combo. Can I have 30,000,000 of the new money to do it?”

              “Sure, Slimeball-kun. Here you go!”

              Nobody has enough money to buy stupid borger

              “Hey Bank-chan, I’m declaring bankrupcy. you’re only getting $2,000,000 back on the investment”

              “But you and 99999 other people were supposed to make me profit!”

              Local news: “Your local bank is freaking out”

              “Oh holy shit, get my money out of that bank!” x9,999,999

              “Omg I don’t have enough money if 9999999 people withdraw their savings”

              bank run

              bank collapses

              nobody can make any businesses

              feds try to step in… again

              Only this time nobody wants to buy the dogshit bonds because BRICS is trying to divest. B&RI is using USD as toilet paper

              “Idk, maybe raise taxes 88% on the lowest 25% of Americans?” - Elon Mu$$k

              lowest 25%-sama can’t afford food

              also that real estate bubble that was giga overdue happens because of the week-decade thing

              cool zone begins

              Meanwhile China enjoys a functioning, self-sufficient economy because they are capable of doing anything

              I imagine it’s something like that.

              • SuperZutsuki [they/them]@hexbear.net
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                5 days ago

                The only way out (other than compete collapse) is going back to 1940s taxes where the rich were paying 90% after a certain threshold and, uhh, gestures broadly at the state of US politics

                • WhatDoYouMeanPodcast [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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                  5 days ago

                  Barely. Even if the US met its spending through gigataxes, the taxes would go towards genociding teenagers, chauvinistic enforcement of the petrodollar, corporate buybacks, R&D on planned obsolescence, political ads, and recruiting troops.

                  I can think of a third, much more sinister way our of a capitalist pinch specter

          • Preston Maness ☭@lemmygrad.ml
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            5 days ago

            As I understand it, quantitative easing is supposed to be viewed as an emergency measure that states use for temporary relief when the markets go into the negative to avoid everything spiraling into a recession. The US is just using QE all the time as a base stimulus, which means they can’t use it in an emergency.

            Well, they raised interest rates throughout 2022 until basically the end of 2023, where it topped out at 5.33. It’s dipped about a percentage point now, to 4.48 [1]. So there is some room to keep playing the QE game, in theory. Granted, QE and the FFER aren’t a causal relation here; just a correlation. Lots of folks thought that near-zero or zero interest rate policy would kill the dollar back in the 2007-2008 global financial crisis, but so far, the dollar is still around. Maybe additional QE would kill the dollar. Maybe it won’t make a difference. I honestly don’t know enough to have an educated guess.

            [1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
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      5 days ago

      It’s kind of a game of hot potato. Nobody wants to be stuck with the big crash, so they use whatever tools they have to kick it down the road so it becomes a problem for the next admin. Thing is that you can’t keep doing that indefinitely because the fundamentals continue to deteriorate. All that accomplishes is to ensure that the crash will be bigger and more profound when it hits.

    • 小莱卡@lemmygrad.ml
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      3 days ago

      this can keep going until people liquidate their assets, its exactly like how cryptocurrencies still go strong even after thousands of scams, people keep pumping money into it and with stocks it happens that retirement plans go directly into pumping stocks.

  • DogPeePoo@lemm.ee
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    5 days ago

    The Fed prints money. The wealthy get tax cuts and skate on taxes through low interest stock collateral loans and scams like fully forgiven PPP loans.

    Wages remain perpetually stagnant for decades while inflation runs rampant, leaving the plebeians to pick up the tab for the Plutocracy/Kleptocracy.

  • OrionsMask [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    5 days ago

    I don’t pretend to be an expert but am I wrong in my understanding that when the crash happens, it’ll ripple all across the world because of how tied to the dollar the entire world is? That’s basically what happened in 08, no?

    The real question I’m asking is: is there anywhere in the world to put money where it’ll be safe or at least less affected, to mitigate the inevitable crash?

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
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      5 days ago

      That will definitely be happening, and countries that rely heavily on trade with US will end up being dragged down with them. In general, I expect that BRICS countries will be better off while G7 ones will be worse off.

      Amusingly, Russia might be the one country that’s best prepared for this because of the forced decoupling with the west. China has also been working on creating a dual circulation economy. The strategy focuses on domestic market, or internal circulation, to adapt to an unstable international trade environment. https://chinapower.csis.org/china-covid-dual-circulation-economic-strategy/