The WSJ reports that China is on an extensive push to drive out Western tech companies from the country and replace them with domestic alternatives. China reportedly started its domestic expansion in 2022 with a highly secretive “Document 79,” an initiative focused on deleting Western tech companies from the country. Since then, China’s new plan has been in full effect — domestic alternatives have replaced most Western software providers.
When initiated two years ago, Document 79 was a super sensitive document that only high-ranking officials were purportedly shown. Security was so paramount that copies of the document were not allowed to be made. The initiative set out by Document 79 is to replace foreign software in China’s IT systems by 2027, with state-owned firms required to provide quarterly updates on their progress in replacing foreign software with domestic alternatives.
Two years later, the fruits of Document 79 are now apparent. Microsoft, HP Enterprise, and Cisco’s market share in China has fallen drastically in the past several years. In 2018, HP Enterprise had a 14.1% market share in China, but in 2023, that has fallen to just 4%. Cisco’s market share has halved in the past five years down to just 8%. Microsoft’s Chinese sales today account for just 1.5% of the company’s overall sales.
That shouldn’t come as a surprise. It’s just history repeating itself. USA did take tech from the British and used that to build USA hegemony. China was always planning to do the same.
Not that this always works. The USSR tried this before and the copying party worked, but bootstrapping from there never worked out.
Yes, the upstart stealing technology isn’t just common historically, but predictable. Even within the US, the film industry is located on the West coast because it allowed them to avoid Edison’s patents.
https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/51722/thomas-edison-drove-film-industry-california
That said, there are a lot of reasons to try to prevent China from doing it, especially when the upstart is autocratic and oppressive.