Pick whatever non-NATO source.

  • Pons_Aelius@kbin.social
    543·
    10 months ago

    No matter who actually did it. Russia would blame Ukraine/NATO/USA/The West in general, together and separately in rotation.

    After that I have no real idea, who would succeed. There would be a massive power struggle both in the government and military.

    There is a strong possibility that several of the autonomous regions within the Russian federation would try to break away. There is about a 20% chance of a civil war because of this.

    And about a 1% chance of nukes being used.

  • killeronthecorner@lemmy.worldEnglish
    38·
    10 months ago

    During his next public speech, you’d notice that his eyebrows are slightly bushier, his voice is slightly deeper, and he’s suddenly an inch taller.

  • NeoNachtwaechter@lemmy.world
    341·
    10 months ago

    Currently, there is no other really powerful figure next to him.

    Therefore a giant power vacuum emerges.

    The war would stop, probably very soon. But then the situation gets chaotic and unpredictable.

    • A_Random_Idiot@lemmy.worldEnglish
      12·
      10 months ago

      I’d wager the war goes from internal, to internal civil war, if Putin dies, as various power blocks try either secure their own positions/power, or reach for more.

      assuming they didnt try to blame the west, which then things get far more worse for NATO states, and possibly hot

    • TheDarkKnight@lemmy.worldEnglish
      6·
      10 months ago

      Yeah I’d imagine the troops in Ukraine would be pulled back into Russia largely to secure someone’s position in their upper ranks, with only enough to maintain defensive positions in Ukraine. If Ukraine broke through during this period it’d probably be over while Russia is distracted with internal issues.

      • NeoNachtwaechter@lemmy.world
        3·
        10 months ago

        largely to secure someone’s position in their upper ranks

        Yes, or simply because noone else really wants this war (=wants the country to pay the price of this war).

      • intensely_human@lemm.ee
        01·
        10 months ago

        Was Dolly done in a vat? You can clone humans no problem. It’s just the age difference that’s the problem. And you don’t get to transfer the mind but we’ll have that figure out soon too.

    • Limitless_screaming@kbin.social
      5·
      10 months ago

      That’d probably be true for a while, but after that they’d need to start an “election” where some military commander or other higher up will take his chair.

      • OpenStars@kbin.social
        2·
        10 months ago

        Fascists do not care about truth or facts, only authority, so whichever they deem more useful to them at the time they will make use of.

        • Limitless_screaming@kbin.social
          1·
          10 months ago

          This isn’t about truth or facts. If something major happens in Russia or related to it and the president doesn’t show up to talk about it, that would raise eyebrows. Now imagine that happening over and over again. Putin dying would be the perfect opportunity for the US to start swaying Russia into a civil war. They definitely don’t want the president’s chair to be empty and contested for.

          The most useful thing to them will always be to shove anyone atop that chair before the US notices.

  • corrupts_absolutely@sh.itjust.works
    62·
    10 months ago

    theyd probably put one of the pop stars that are members of the party and are in sound enough mind to be able to string two sentences together in his place(unlike the guy himself considering the brainrot that are his speeches, but then again the italian pm went on stage to share the same kind of schizophrenic speech). and then everyone would jointly come out to endorse the selected champion and try their best to feint normalcy.

    besides, great opportunity to tighten the bolts even more and declare a domestic hunt on traitors

  • pewgar_seemsimandroid@lemmy.blahaj.zone
    0·
    10 months ago

    destabilization until the Kremlin finds a new president in that time probably multiple nations would be indipendent and Ukraine would pretty much launch their offensive and the union state collapses and tv stations all across Russia hijacked

  • freddy@lemmy.world
    314·
    10 months ago

    A hardliner will take power (Putin is not the most antiwest russian politician) and then…from the total erasing of Ukraine to third world war, anything would be posible, but neither civil war nor colapse of Rusia. That is the OTAN countries wet dream.

    • monk@lemmy.unboiled.info
      181·
      10 months ago

      Putin is the most antiwest Russian politician. And the least antiwest Russian politician. Also the tallest one, as well as the shortest.

    • RozhkiNozhki@lemmy.world
      2·
      10 months ago

      This is very likely. If anything, the existing system will be perpetuated because there’s no replacement atm. It’s been too long in the making and it will take a lot of work to undo. Also, he may be long dead and it won’t change anything in the near future.

      This said there’s always a chance for a change, but not right now.

      • freddy@lemmy.world
        1·
        10 months ago

        What about a change in the West? In order to avoid another Afganistán, Irak, Sirya, Libya and so on…