• Jordan Lund@lemmy.one
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    10 months ago

    Worth pointing out that a national poll is pointless as we do not have national elections.

    Show me the polling from these states:

    Iowa - 1/15 Caucus - 8/24 - Trump +20
    New Hampshire - 1/22 Primary - 8/15-17 - Trump +20
    Nevada - 2/6 Primary, 2/8 Caucus 6/26-28 - Trump +30
    South Carolina - 2/24 Primary 8/17-19 - Trump +34
    Michigan - 2/27 Primary 8/1-2 - Trump +48
    Idaho - 3/2 Caucus (no polls available)
    D.C. - 3/3 Primary (no polls available)
    (Trump D.C. Trial begins) - 3/4
    Super Tuesday - 3/5 - Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Masachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia.
    Mini-Tuesday - 3/12 - Georgia, Mississipi, Washington

    • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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      10 months ago

      And even if it did have significance, dropping 6 points still puts him way ahead of any of the competition.

        • hitmyspot@aussie.zone
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          10 months ago

          Yes, but it shows discontent and as candidates drop out, they will end up converging on one vs trimp

          • themeatbridge@lemmy.world
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            10 months ago

            I doubt it. As the candidates bow out, most voters will return to Trump as their second choice. His voters aren’t leaving because they don’t like him.

            • hitmyspot@aussie.zone
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              10 months ago

              If they’re not on the trump train now, or are looking at alternatives, they are more likely to change to other candidates. The question is whether there are enough sane people.

              I wonder if the emperor having no clothes will suddenly lead to an abandonment by his base. Full on support, until it isn’t.