• 124 Posts
  • 4.09K Comments
Joined 2 years ago
cake
Cake day: July 5th, 2023

help-circle



  • People start paying attention when an election is called. Polls before that often aren’t representative of their opinions. With that said, I think the current political context, with Trump, the LPC leadership election, the PM change, people have been paying more attention than usual so I think we won’t see large swings. But some are definitely plugging in now. The undecided number is just 6% today. In mid-February it was 11%.

    So yeah some number of people have begun absorbing the (mis) informational firehose.






  • That’s true.

    Unfortunately we have no real ability to microtarget the result between a minority and majority. With FPTP small changes in the popular vote in the 35-40% range produce drastic changes in seat numbers.

    A possible side effect from a massive Liberal majority would be that the CPC is likely to split like it did in the past with Reform splitting from the PCs. In such a scenario, the next election would have a lot more room for a renewed NDP or something else to take votes from the LPC because the CPC won’t automatically win due to vote split.




  • Yeah, that’s all there’s to it, along with pure ignorance. In a past not so ideologically developed life, I’ve written code under Apache 2 because it was “more free.” Understanding licenses, their implications, the ideologies behind them and their socioeconomic effects isn’t trivial. People certainly aren’t born educated in those, and often they reach for the code editor before that.








  • I explained why. People will not bear the stick and instead beat you with it by electing fossil fuel funded governments that kill decarbonization policies. Policies and governments that ignore people’s material conditions do not last long in a democratic system. I don’t like where people currently are, commuting with F150s in the GTA, but that’s the reality. It’s alright if you don’t buy that but I don’t think my argument is devoid of reason.



  • No idea. I’m not suggesting this as an alternative to decarbonization. I’m thinking of the wide socioeconomic costs that the recent inflation shock produced in Canada and abroad. Such crises are often used by political opportunists and large capital to usurp power and introduce more neoliberal policy favouring capital over labour. And capital in Canada still really likes fossil fuels. So from that perspective, I’d like to get a hold of this even if it costs more on an ongoing basis. At the same time do massive investments into electrification. If we don’t control the domestic price of fossil fuels, price shocks put decarbonization policies on the chopping block. Just look at what happened to the carbon tax during the last shock.