Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.
The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.
Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.
Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it’s notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Assad is gone? Wow. I didn’t know that… he led an amazing life. What else can you say?
Russian Channel One, quoting sources in the Kremlin: ‘Former President Bashar al-Assad and his family have arrived safely in Moscow’
‘Iran warned Assad two months ago that HTS was preparing to make a move, but he dismissed the threat. So the Turkish Foreign Minister gave us assurances that nothing will take place, which turned out to be a lie. After HTS entered Western Aleppo, Iran expected Assad to ask for military assistance, and we were fully prepared to oblige with troops and whatever else was needed – but no such request came. After Aleppo fell, it became clear that Assad had no real intentions of staying in power, so we started to engage in diplomatic talks with the opposition, and arranged the safe exit of our troops from Syria. If the SAA does not fight, neither will we risk our soldiers’ lives. Russia and the UAE had managed to convince him to step down, so there was nothing we could do.’ – Iranian Officials
Idk if this is true, could be Iranian cope or Assad really was this dumb
After Aleppo fell, it became clear that Assad had no real intentions of staying in power, so we started to engage in diplomatic talks with the opposition, and arranged the safe exit of our troops from Syria.
It looks like the only reason the SAA held Hama for so long (long being a few days) was to facilitate this and buy time to negotiate and plan the exit. The Russians and Iranians probably forced them to do this. Once the SAA was left to it’s own devices, the collapse continued.
What i find baffling, if he was not feeling the vibes, why remain in power? Just give it up to someone and leave, wtf
first of all,, how dare you
The Saudis are probably feeling real stupid about letting Syria back into the Arab League in 2023. MBS should have just held out a little longer and Syria would have indeed collapsed.
Insert here that meme with the two guys digging for diamonds.
All of this gnostic talk kind of proves the pitfalls of supporting any religion based resistance movement. It’s not very deep, people are just losing faith. (Ironically alawites are influenced by gnosticism too which is probably partly why they are in such danger right now, remember what happened to the melek taus worshippers)
Now is the time for honesty. The honest issue here is that the axis of resistance requires a strong Iran and a strong Russia. This is probably why Israel let October 7th happen, it was the worst possible timing for an intifada. At the end of the day, Hamas is a Muslim brotherhood offshoot that supported Syrian rebels, the fact that hezbollah even helped them at all was an act of mercy that explains the initial hesitation.
As for the future of Syria, the knives are already coming out. The new Bin Laden is talking about legal principles for the protection of minorities, but I am pretty sure he just means jizzya taxes and other tolerances of people of the book that is already found in sharia. (Not sure if that applies to alawites since sunnis view them as super heretics) He also talked about communal confederalism (Occalan’s comunalism winning in Syria was not on my bingo card) which is probably why I am hearing rumors that Erdogan is about to sanction him. (Will confirm later)
As this goes on greater Israel expands past the Golan heights. The question here is how they deal with a Druze breakaway state and if they think attacking Latakia is worth missing off Russia and clearing the board for Erdogan, the true winner of the Biden administration. (He helped orchestrate the defeat of both Armenia and Syria, neo ottomanism is going to replace axis of resistance talk for the next two decades.
Seems like Israel is bombing all of Syria’s Military Bases + Damascus. I guess they don’t want the terrorists to use the Syrian Airforce equipament to defend Syria?
Last comment
Thank god I touched grass and didn’t have to read the news today, just did a quick glance of the headlines and it’s all terrible, may the lib MSMs be damned.
So I would already like to do some self-reflection and I have to say, what the hell Alexander Mercouris? I didn’t have much time to doom over the past week so I just listened to his soothing voice every night, and he was all “oh yeah maybe the situation doesn’t look good but I have news of Iranian militiamen preparing to move in, and the Russian air force is much stronger than it was in 2015 and it is hitting the rebel hard, or so this Russian telegram channel is saying…” I was close to posting his happy face in this thread several times over the last few days to counter the dooming voices here, I mean just look at the guy:
Then yesterday there was a SHARP change of tone in his Syria opening reporting and he said stuff like “Russia will probably cut ties with Assad if they deem it approriate” and I was like, well that’s new, sounds almost like a kiss of death to me!" and then I wake up to the ousting of the Young Lion. I’m pretty bummed at Mercouris right now, like WTF dude? You sold me a damn bridge man, I was THIS close to investing a few hundred bucks in Assad staying in power through 2024 on Polymarket. Damn. You really can’t rely too much on these multipolarity guys. Wonder if there’s any self-critique in his next program.
That’s all, thanks for reading, hope it doesn’t get deleted because it’s not really news, but I had to write it down, you know how it is.
Mercouris would be smiling in the thumbnail while the MIRVs are falling during the nuclear apocalypse, with a video titled “only 30 nuclear ICBMs launched today, things are looking positive”, it’s just how he is.
I swear someone made a meme like that in the past.
Yeah that’s the one lol.
Mahan Air sending in an Airbus A340 evacuation flight to Syria now. The plane that Syria has been using for suspected evacuation flights from Damascus to the UAE, callsign C5SKY, has turned off it’s transponder as of half an hour ago over Homs area, presumably on its way to Latakia.
Update: This Mahan Air A-340 also appears to be on it’s way to Latakia. It has turned away from Damascus. So that’s two passenger aircraft, a private jet and this A-340, at Latakia. The A-340 also flew directly over Al Tanf, so I guess that safe passage has been negotiated for this flight, between Iran, the USA, Turkey and the HTS.
Final update: transponder turned off on approach to Latakia, just like C5SKY.
If you’re wondering why it’s flying so slow compared to other passenger aircraft on the map, that’s just an Airbus A340-300 (and 200) thing. It essentially has four underpowered tiny hairdryers for engines. This makes the cruise speed very low, and the takeoff distance very long, compared to modern aircraft in it’s class.
Christ, what a miserable state of affairs. Assad has always been a piece of shit, but I cannnot imagine how awful things are going to get once again in Syria without his regime at least nominally committed to multiethnic harmony. And the Axis of Resistance? What a joke tbh, I’m almost glad Nasrallah isn’t here to see this. Iran is just watching all its pieces wiped from the board, for what? Some vague hope that Trump of all people is going to dial back sanctions? Disgusting. I hope I’m wrong, but grim days seem to be ahead.
I still think (1 year later), that hezbollah and iran should have been much more forceful when nazis started to ground invade gaza, show you are willing to sacrifice and there is a chance of victory, instead of meh-meh we respond to response to response. Wasn’t there news that iraqi hezbollah wanted to go to fight to lebanon, and they told them no? The larger issue hasn’t started with new leadership in both cases, but rather slow escalation at the start. Fly drones into airstrips. explode tankers in mediterranean, shit on erdogan openly and forcefully, call him whatever name on earth
Iran can make nukes in a matter of weeks if need be, why the fuck are they still being so wishy washy with it.
Cause it’s antithetical to Islamic practice? Afaik that’s been the reason the whole time. If the people in decision making positions are really Shia then Khomeini’s fatwa was pretty iron clad.
issuing a correction on my past statement; Our enemies move at light speed, our allies clearly want to die doing nothing
They are never going to be able to do a Blowback season on Syria because it will never end
Who is next on the chopping board?
The Kurds obviously, Turkey will 100% go after them and the US will throw them under the bus at the first sign of trouble.
The US will protect the YPG by financing and arming them to use this to wear and destroy the turkish army and weaken erdogan. Be prepared for a mass of YPG anti-marxist propaganda around the world financed by their state and a new wave of post-left pundits.
Assad is being overthrown rn. I guess it’s over for Syria. Now we will see if Yemen can resist being the next target of the US, but I suppose they are in a better position than Assad’s goverment was.
I guess a year from now we are going to be seeing reports of Jihadi crimes in Syria with people asking what went wrong in Syria
